China's Military Aviation Landscape: A Growing Challenge for the U.S.
China is rapidly expanding its military aviation capabilities, with projections indicating that the People's Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) will become the largest fighter force in the world. Satellite imagery shows substantial growth at the Aviation Industry Corporation of China's (AVIC) facilities—adding over 8 million square feet of manufacturing capacity since 2021. Experts like J. Michael Dahm estimate that by 2028, China could produce up to 300 fighters annually, including the stealthy J-20 and upcoming J-35 which targets U.S. F-35 capabilities.
Why the U.S. Needs to Boost F-35 Procurement
Amid this rapid expansion, U.S. military leaders emphasize the urgent need for increased production of the F-35 fighter. The current U.S. fighter inventory, which has halved since the end of the Cold War, simply cannot meet the demands of possible simultaneous conflicts. Operating aging aircraft that average over 30 years old, the Air Force requires more than 1,500 fighters to effectively counter threats from various adversaries, including China, Russia, and Iran.
Learning from History: The Reagan Buildup Era
The Cold War era offers a parallel to today’s situation; during that time, the U.S. military ramped up production to secure air superiority. Analysts advocate for a similar approach now. Historically, the Air Force purchased nearly 200 fighters per year during the Reagan administration, compared to the current figures below 72 annually needed to maintain force levels.
Strategic Implications for Global Stability
Maintaining a robust fighter force is central to U.S. deterrence strategies globally. China's growing air fleet presents a significant challenge not only for regional security but also for U.S. commitments in other theaters, such as Europe and the Middle East. This enhanced aerial capability potentially allows China to project power beyond its borders, fundamentally altering the military balance worldwide.
F-35: The Foundation of Future Air Dominance
The F-35 is not merely a new fighter; it serves as a networked combat system integral to future military operations. Its capabilities in information sharing and sensor fusion will be essential in maintaining air superiority. To achieve these advantages, the U.S. must prioritize procurement of F-35s and streamline operational readiness, ensuring that these advanced aircraft are not only built but also fully operational when needed.
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